trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +46.7% | +32.8% | 50% | 25% | +206.3% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +46.7% | +32.8% | 50% | 25% | +206.3% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +46.7% | +32.8% | 50% | 25% | +206.3% |
| all | 4 | +46.7% | +32.8% | 50% | 25% | +206.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +32.8% | 25% | +206.3% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +20.1% | 25% | +177.0% |
| 15% | +8.5% | 25% | +150.2% |
| 20% | -2.2% | 25% | +125.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $219 | $274 | +$55 (+25%) |
| Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $249 | $250 | +$2 (+1%) |
| Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $36 | $45 | +$9 (+25%) |
| Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $11 | $13 | +$2 (+14%) |
| Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+25%) |
| Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+33%) |
| Will the Labor Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+50%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting? | Jun 17 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting? | Jun 17 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 16 | $23 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 12 | $56 | +$215 | +386% |