Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:21:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x88f9…53d7
crypto · 272 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,572 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,869 · open −$23
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$72
Realized−$1,869
Unrealized−$23
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses114 / 141
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions17
Markets (closed)255 / 272
History coverage89d
Avg bet$53
Trades / day11.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 17 History 255 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$253
7 days−$488
14 days−$488
30 days−$488
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 15? Yes 12¢ 22¢ $12 $22 +$10 (+79%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 16? Yes 10¢ 8¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-16%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 16? Yes 15¢ 20¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+33%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 15? Yes 6¢ 8¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+49%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 16? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-6%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 15? Yes 8¢ 12¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+50%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 15? Yes 5¢ 6¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+20%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+22%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 15? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-20%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 15? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $3 $2 −$2 (-56%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 15? Yes 10¢ 2¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-82%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 14? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 14? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 14? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 14? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 14? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 14? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $255 $0 −$255 (-100%)
Hornets vs. Timberwolves Timberwolves 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$10 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -56%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? Jun 14 $51 −$27 -54%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 14? Jun 14 $5 −$4 -94%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 14? Jun 14 $2 −$1 -92%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 14? Jun 14 $10 +$85 +826%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 14? Jun 14 $39 +$11 +27%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $258 −$255 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $10 +$17 +167%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $76 −$76 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $31 +$2 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 −$4 -36%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$10 +195%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $26 −$26 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -93%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 13? Jun 12 $14 −$13 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13? Jun 12 $10 −$3 -28%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 13? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 13? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $9 +$4 +40%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $228 −$226 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12? Jun 11 $31 −$3 -11%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $151 +$66 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Apr 12 $147 −$71 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Apr 12 $200 −$192 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Apr 12 $117 −$70 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Apr 12 $40 +$35 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Apr 12 $90 +$9 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Apr 12 $100 −$15 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Apr 12 $100 +$87 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Apr 12 $25 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Apr 12 $110 −$28 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Apr 12 $120 −$1 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 14? Apr 12 $14 −$2 -12%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 14? Apr 12 $31 −$4 -12%
Will Trump visit China by May 31? Apr 12 $50 +$2 +4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? Apr 12 $100 −$1 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 13? Apr 12 $100 −$11 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Apr 12 $100 −$96 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Apr 12 $340 −$140 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Apr 12 $180 +$18 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Apr 12 $215 −$97 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Apr 12 $510 +$20 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Apr 12 $210 −$147 -70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 76% −$1,263
weather 9% −$203
world 5% −$2
other 5% −$416
sports 4% −$16
politics 2% +$1
finance 0% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16? BUY Yes 9¢ $0 3h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 15? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 4h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 15? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 4h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 15? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 6h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 16? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 6h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 16? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 15? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 16? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 16? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 16? BUY Yes 12¢ $4 6h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 16? BUY Yes 12¢ $0 6h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 16? BUY Yes 9¢ $6 6h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 16? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 16? BUY Yes 15¢ $4 6h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16? BUY Yes 9¢ $4 6h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 15? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 7h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 15? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 7h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 15? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 7h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 15? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 8h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 15? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 8h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 15? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -2.5% -11.8% 34% 28% -51.3%
≤30d 29 -2.5% -11.8% 34% 28% -51.3%
≤90d 255 -11.3% -19.8% 45% 34% -21.8%
all 255 -11.3% -19.8% 45% 34% -21.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.8% 34% -21.8%
10% -27.5% 25% -29.3%
15% -34.5% 18% -36.1%
20% -40.9% 15% -42.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $71.78 · official $70.03 · 1063 history records