Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:06:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x88f7…e7ad
sports · 427 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$20 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$76 · open −$56
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized+$76
Unrealized−$56
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses124 / 295
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions8
Markets (closed)419 / 427
History coverage187d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day5.9
Drawdown73%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 8 History 419 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$174
7 days−$46
14 days−$46
30 days+$190
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $1 $8 +$7 (+750%)
Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-49%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-12%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-17%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? No 1¢ 1¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-35%)
Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+274%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 53¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5 Over 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5 Under 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) Chicago Cubs 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? No 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5) Phoenix Mercury 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Over 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? No 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Arizona Diamondbacks 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Duckworth (+1.5) Lehecka 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5) Colorado Rockies 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5) Minnesota Twins 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 12 $6 −$1 -21%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 −$1 -13%
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca Jun 12 $6 −$1 -10%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 12 $4 −$3 -63%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $4 −$2 -61%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $4 −$3 -70%
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $4 −$1 -12%
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 12 $8 −$1 -7%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $6 $0 -4%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 $0 -6%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 -6%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 12 $4 $0 -4%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 12 $4 $0 -4%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $4 $0 -7%
O/U 1.5 Rounds Jun 12 $4 $0 -3%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 12 $4 $0 -1%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 12 $4 $0 -1%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $4 $0 -4%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 12 $4 $0 -3%
O/U 1.5 Rounds Jun 12 $3 $0 -5%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 -4%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 12 $4 $0 -3%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 -8%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 12 $4 $0 -5%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 $0 -3%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $4 $0 -3%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $8 −$1 -6%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$1 -6%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 12 $4 $0 -5%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $6 $0 -5%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 12 $6 $0 -5%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $4 $0 -4%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 12 $8 −$1 -6%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 -6%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 -4%
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) Jun 12 $4 $0 -6%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 -6%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 12 $4 $0 -7%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 $0 -8%
O/U 1.5 Rounds Jun 12 $4 $0 -5%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 −$1 -18%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $4 +$1 +30%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $4 +$4 +96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 58% −$190
other 14% +$207
politics 14% +$54
crypto 12% −$42
finance 1% −$3
tech 1% −$1
economics 1% −$2
world 0% $0
weather 0% −$2
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY Yes 0¢ $5 43m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY Yes 0¢ $3 43m
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 2¢ $2 49m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 38¢ $4 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca SELL Justin Gaethje 19¢ $4 1h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) SELL 9z 12¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe SELL Frances Tiafoe 19¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 22¢ $1 1h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 31¢ $4 1h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) SELL Türkiye 30¢ $4 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 45¢ $2 1h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL No 70¢ $4 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 68¢ $4 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) SELL Haiti 64¢ $4 1h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? SELL Yes 66¢ $4 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 40¢ $2 1h
O/U 1.5 Rounds SELL Under 47¢ $4 1h
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) SELL New York Mets 64¢ $4 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals SELL Seattle Mariners 57¢ $4 1h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) SELL Canada 27¢ $4 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Qatar 43¢ $4 1h
O/U 1.5 Rounds SELL Under 51¢ $3 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 SELL Over 56¢ $4 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins SELL Minnesota Twins 55¢ $4 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 25¢ $4 1h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) SELL Australia 69¢ $4 1h
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) SELL Spurs 53¢ $4 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL No 72¢ $4 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 76¢ $4 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Chicago White Sox 38¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-23.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 414 -18.1% -25.9% 30% 25% -12.0%
≤30d 417 -15.4% -23.5% 30% 25% +2.3%
≤90d 417 -15.4% -23.5% 30% 25% +2.3%
all 419 -15.8% -23.8% 30% 25% -4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.8% 25% -4.9%
10% -31.1% 21% -14.0%
15% -37.8% 18% -22.3%
20% -43.9% 13% -29.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.64 · official $20.64 (match) · 1111 history records