Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:46:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x88f2…a6c1
sports · 251 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$287 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$287 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$287
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses143 / 108
Est. fees paid−$187
Open positions0
Markets (closed)251 / 251
History coverage12d
Avg bet$113
Trades / day262.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 251 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,678
7 days−$2,265
14 days+$287
30 days+$287
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $150 −$122 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $176 +$418 +237%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $106 +$198 +187%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $58 −$32 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$15 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $56 −$48 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $225 −$225 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $203 −$27 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $87 −$85 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $131 +$266 +204%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $36 +$6 +18%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $27 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$22 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $108 −$108 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $104 −$96 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $55 +$60 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $90 −$90 -100%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $17 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $318 −$318 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $96 +$22 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $83 +$181 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $82 −$82 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $47 +$52 +110%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $41 −$3 -6%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Canada? Jun 12 $15 +$2 +16%
Canada to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $4 +$1 +17%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $126 −$126 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $237 −$237 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $120 +$41 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $156 −$156 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $156 −$85 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $227 −$227 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $85 −$4 -4%
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $75 −$13 -17%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $303 −$11 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $94 +$100 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $44 +$30 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $66 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $158 −$158 -100%
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? Jun 12 $17 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $108 +$238 +222%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $18 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $118 +$125 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 48% −$793
crypto 44% +$1,389
other 5% −$312
world 3% +$10
politics 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $28 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $73 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $25 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $9 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $0 26m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-3.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 149 -4.7% -13.7% 52% 45% -20.6%
≤30d 251 +6.8% -3.4% 57% 49% -8.6%
≤90d 251 +6.8% -3.4% 57% 49% -8.6%
all 251 +6.8% -3.4% 57% 49% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover262.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.4% 49% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -12.6% 39% -17.4%
15% -21.1% 35% -25.3%
20% -28.8% 28% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records