Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T05:47:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
88 0x88ee…054a crypto 711 markets active 2h ago coverage 15d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 15d only
✗ bot/MM pace (210 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,171 (-8%) realized −$1,171 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR18%break-even
Win rate26%195W / 569L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$19per market
Trades / day210.2pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit87%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,624
7 days−$1,552
14 days−$1,544
30 days−$1,339
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% +$363
other 1% +$14
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (210 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 354 -82.3% -84.0% 11% 3% -26.0%
≤30d 764 -9.0% -17.7% 26% 18% -17.5%
≤90d 764 -9.0% -17.7% 26% 18% -17.5%
all 764 -9.0% -17.7% 26% 18% -17.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover210.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.7% 18% -17.5%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 16% -25.4%
15% -32.8% 14% -32.6%
20% -39.4% 14% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
28% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +59% → late -77% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
4.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$5 · ×1.62 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.55 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,171
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses195 / 569
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)764 / 711
History coverage15d ⚠
Avg bet$19
Trades / day210.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 764 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 2PM ET Jun 25 $21 −$21 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 25 $25 −$25 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 25 $100 −$100 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 25 $9 −$9 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $203 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $303 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $95 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $45 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $91 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $106 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $176 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $103 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $412 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $227 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $86 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $86 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $37 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $52 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $31 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $86 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records