Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:21:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x88e1…4f2a
crypto · 1527 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$42 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$42 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$42
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses1468 / 58
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1526 / 1527
History coverage21d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day93.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 0 History 1526 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days−$62
14 days−$62
30 days−$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$14
other 12% −$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 399 -4.7% -13.7% 93% 1% -11.3%
≤30d 1526 -1.1% -10.6% 96% 1% -9.9%
≤90d 1526 -1.1% -10.6% 96% 1% -9.9%
all 1526 -1.1% -10.6% 96% 1% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover93.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 1% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 1% -18.5%
15% -26.9% 0% -26.4%
20% -34.1% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.50 · official $5.50 (match) · 3500 history records