Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:06:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x88d8…d427
crypto · 1111 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$69 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$24
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses643 / 467
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1110 / 1111
History coverage20d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day64.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1110 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$63
7 days+$56
14 days−$3
30 days−$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 38¢ 42¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$8 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$16 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$5 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$5 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$8 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$7 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$11 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$7 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$7 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$8 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$6 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$8 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$5 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$7 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$8 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$4 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$5 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$6 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$7 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$7 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$8 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$7 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$7 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$5 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$4 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$10 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $8 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $8 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $8 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $0 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 600 -0.1% -9.6% 53% 53% -7.9%
≤30d 1110 -1.4% -10.8% 58% 58% -9.9%
≤90d 1110 -1.4% -10.8% 58% 58% -9.9%
all 1110 -1.4% -10.8% 58% 58% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 58% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 56% -18.5%
15% -27.1% 55% -26.4%
20% -34.3% 39% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.76 · official $8.76 (match) · 1926 history records