Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:31:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x88cb…6d80
politics · 38 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$2 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses9 / 29
Open positions0
Markets (closed)38 / 38
Avg bet$14
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 0 History 38 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Jun 12 $28 $0 +0%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 11 $1 $0 -2%
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Jun 11 $29 −$1 -3%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 10 $26 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 10 $26 $0 +0%
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026? Jan 31 $6 $0 +4%
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31? Dec 25 $22 $0 +1%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina Dec 18 $4 $0 +0%
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? Oct 12 $3 −$1 -21%
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Oct 11 $1 $0 -5%
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? Oct 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Oct 11 $23 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Oct 11 $2 $0 +5%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China? Oct 10 $24 $0 +0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US? Oct 10 $22 $0 +1%
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? Oct 09 $5 $0 +0%
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League? Oct 09 $5 $0 +0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Oct 08 $5 $0 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? Oct 07 $6 $0 +0%
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025 Oct 06 $1 $0 -2%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Oct 06 $7 $0 +0%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no Oct 05 $6 $0 +1%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Oct 02 $4 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? Oct 02 $21 $0 +0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? Oct 01 $24 −$1 -2%
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? Oct 01 $23 $0 +0%
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? Sep 30 $2 $0 -20%
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025? Sep 30 $22 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Sep 30 $6 $0 -0%
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025? Sep 29 $2 $0 -1%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Sep 29 $2 $0 -3%
Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025? Sep 29 $1 $0 +0%
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Sep 29 $1 $0 -3%
Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Sep 29 $1 $0 -20%
Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Sep 29 $27 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Sep 26 $27 $0 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Sep 25 $27 $0 -0%
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Sep 24 $27 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 28% −$1
politics 27% $0
world 21% −$1
sports 11% $0
culture 5% $0
tech 4% $0
crypto 4% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL No 53¢ $28 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY No 53¢ $28 1h
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL Yes 7¢ $0 26h
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? SELL No 36¢ $28 34h
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? BUY No 37¢ $29 34h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 55¢ $16 42h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 55¢ $10 42h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY Yes 55¢ $26 43h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 42¢ $26 2d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 42¢ $12 2d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 42¢ $15 2d
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31? SELL No 100¢ $22 168d
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina SELL No 99¢ $4 176d
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina BUY No 99¢ $4 243d
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? SELL No 3¢ $0 243d
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? SELL No 3¢ $1 243d
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? SELL No 3¢ $0 243d
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? SELL No 3¢ $1 243d
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 4¢ $1 244d
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31? BUY No 99¢ $22 244d
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? BUY No 4¢ $1 244d
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? BUY No 4¢ $1 244d
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? BUY No 4¢ $1 244d
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? BUY No 4¢ $0 244d
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? BUY No 4¢ $0 244d
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 244d
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 91¢ $24 244d
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? BUY No 91¢ $24 244d
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $23 244d
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL Yes 4¢ $1 244d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -0.9% -10.3% 0% 0% -10.2%
≤30d 5 -0.9% -10.3% 0% 0% -10.2%
≤90d 5 -0.9% -10.3% 0% 0% -10.2%
all 38 -1.9% -11.2% 24% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.2% 0% -9.9%
10% -19.7% 0% -18.5%
15% -27.5% 0% -26.4%
20% -34.6% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 133 history records