Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:32:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x88c7…9100
crypto · 170 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$135 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$214 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$214
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses65 / 103
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)168 / 170
History coverage88d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day8.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 168 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$64
7 days−$64
14 days−$64
30 days−$64
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Clutchain - Map 1 Winner WRAITH PCIFIC 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner illwill 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-95%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$5 -75%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$6 -92%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands Jun 14 $2 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -76%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro Jun 14 $1 $0 -15%
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Clutchain (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 14 $15 −$3 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$5 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$6 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$5 -52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$3 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $34 +$5 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -84%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Paris Gentle Mates (BO5) - Call of Du Jun 14 $2 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$7 -67%
XRP Up or Down on June 14? Jun 14 $10 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 14, 4AM ET? Jun 14 $1 +$2 +241%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $37 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -35%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 -5%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 14 $1 −$1 -72%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 -5%
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$209
sports 2% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 29m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands SELL Bangladesh 70¢ $2 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 35m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 71¢ $2 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $0 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $0 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 39m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 39m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-29.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 100 -35.3% -41.5% 23% 17% -24.3%
≤30d 100 -35.3% -41.5% 23% 17% -24.3%
≤90d 168 -21.7% -29.1% 39% 30% -16.3%
all 168 -21.7% -29.1% 39% 30% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.1% 30% -16.3%
10% -35.9% 24% -24.3%
15% -42.1% 16% -31.6%
20% -47.8% 10% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 905 history records