trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%? | Yes | 56¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-100%) |
| Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $3,080 | $0 | −$3,080 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will voter turnout be between 60% and 65% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral el | Jun 04 | $12,621 | +$503 | +4% |
| Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? | Jun 04 | $4,158 | −$3,841 | -92% |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Jun 04 | $27,809 | +$57,330 | +206% |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Jun 03 | $2 | +$8 | +363% |
| Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | Jun 03 | $13,057 | +$976 | +8% |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%? | Jun 03 | $3,039 | −$798 | -26% |
| Will voter turnout be between 55% and 60% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral el | Jun 03 | $7 | −$4 | -57% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $1,043 | +$243 | +23% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Kore | Jun 04 | $11,643 | +$124,784 | +1072% |
| Will valid votes be between 34 million and 36 million in South Korean | Jun 04 | $2,858 | +$374 | +13% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $110,727 | +$3,257 | +3% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 03 | $2,809 | −$2,538 | -90% |
| Will valid votes be between 36 million and 38 million in South Korean | Jun 03 | $20 | −$14 | -74% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elect | May 13 | $1,013 | −$231 | -23% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 7 | +46.2% | +32.3% | 57% | 29% | +79.6% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +46.2% | +32.3% | 57% | 29% | +79.6% |
| all | 14 | +89.1% | +71.1% | 57% | 36% | +78.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +71.1% | 36% | +78.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +54.7% | 29% | +61.4% |
| 15% | +39.8% | 21% | +45.8% |
| 20% | +26.1% | 21% | +31.5% |