trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 60¢ | 58¢ | $100 | $97 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 48¢ | 46¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $30 | $31 | +$1 (+2%) |
| United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 46¢ | 46¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 | Over | 75¢ | 74¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 | Over | 61¢ | 60¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $40 | +$24 | +60% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $101 | −$85 | -84% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $51 | +$74 | +145% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $40 | −$38 | -94% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $262 | +$105 | +40% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +13.6% | +2.7% | 60% | 60% | +5.2% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +13.6% | +2.7% | 60% | 60% | +5.2% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +13.6% | +2.7% | 60% | 60% | +5.2% |
| all | 5 | +13.6% | +2.7% | 60% | 60% | +5.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +2.7% | 60% | +5.2% |
| 10% | -7.1% | 60% | -4.9% |
| 15% | -16.1% | 60% | -14.1% |
| 20% | -24.3% | 40% | -22.5% |