Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x88b6…eef0
weather · 96 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$8 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$70
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses20 / 74
Open positions2
Markets (closed)94 / 96
History coverage55d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day3.7
Drawdown71%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 2 History 94 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days+$1
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14? No 99¢ 98¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 28? No 99¢ 100¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 2? No 98¢ 100¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 28? No 99¢ 100¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 2? No 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on April 24? No 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 22? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 22? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on April 26? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 2? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 2? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on April 27? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 28? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 24? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 26? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on April 24? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 26? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 26? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 25? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or higher on April 23? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 28? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on April 23? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on April 23? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $13 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $11 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 11? Jun 11 $11 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 9? Jun 10 $15 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 8? Jun 09 $14 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 8? Jun 08 $10 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 7? Jun 08 $11 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6? Jun 06 $14 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 6? Jun 06 $12 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 5? Jun 05 $14 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on June 3? Jun 04 $12 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3? Jun 03 $15 $0 -0%
Will Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election? Jun 03 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 2? Jun 02 $15 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 1? Jun 02 $13 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 3 Jun 01 $12 $0 -0%
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026? May 31 $14 +$1 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 30? May 31 $12 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 30? May 31 $14 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on May 29? May 30 $15 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on May 29? May 29 $12 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 28? May 28 $13 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 28? May 28 $11 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on May 27? May 28 $13 $0 -0%
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33? May 27 $13 +$1 +8%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $14 $0 +1%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 53 million views on day 3 May 19 $14 $0 +2%
Will VOX (VOX) win fewer than 13 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional May 18 $10 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 17? May 17 $13 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 16? May 16 $15 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 15? May 15 $10 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 15? May 15 $11 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on May May 15 $14 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 14? May 14 $11 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 6? May 07 $12 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C or higher on May 6? May 06 $10 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 6? May 06 $12 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on May 6? May 06 $14 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 6? May 06 $15 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or below on May 6? May 06 $11 $0 -0%
Will Josh Williams be the Republican nominee for OH-09? May 06 $10 +$1 +11%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 5? May 06 $13 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 5? May 05 $15 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on Ma May 05 $12 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 5? May 05 $13 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 5? May 05 $13 $0 -0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 4? May 05 $10 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on May 4? May 05 $15 $0 -0%
Will Adele be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list? May 05 $9 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 89% −$3
other 5% +$2
politics 4% +$3
world 1% +$1
tech 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 38m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $14 39m
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $11 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? BUY No 1¢ $0 23h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $13 23h
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 41h
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $11 45h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2d
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $10 2d
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 11? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 3d
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $11 3d
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 9? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 5d
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 9? BUY No 98¢ $15 5d
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 8? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 5d
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 8? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 5d
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 8? BUY No 99¢ $14 6d
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 8? BUY No 98¢ $10 6d
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 7? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 7d
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 7? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 7d
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 7? BUY No 98¢ $11 7d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6? BUY No 1¢ $0 7d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6? BUY Yes 99¢ $14 7d
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 5? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 8d
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 6? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 8d
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 6? BUY No 99¢ $12 8d
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 5? BUY No 99¢ $14 9d
Will Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election? SELL No 99¢ $10 10d
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3? BUY No 2¢ $0 11d
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3? BUY Yes 98¢ $15 11d
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on June 3? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-31.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 33 +0.7% -8.9% 18% 0% -8.9%
≤90d 94 -23.8% -31.0% 21% 1% -9.2%
all 94 -23.8% -31.0% 21% 1% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.0% 1% -9.2%
10% -37.6% 0% -17.9%
15% -43.7% 0% -25.8%
20% -49.2% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $69.87 · official $69.87 (match) · 283 history records