Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:58:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x88b3…f594
sports · 75 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$418 -59%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$436 · open +$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$50
Realized−$436
Unrealized+$17
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses17 / 35
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions23
Markets (closed)52 / 75
History coverage302d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 23 History 52 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$16
14 days−$16
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5 Under 43¢ 99¢ $3 $7 +$4 (+132%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5 Under 49¢ 99¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+103%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5 Under 49¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+103%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 103.5 Under 42¢ 98¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+136%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 100.5 Under 42¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+135%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 Under 48¢ 72¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+50%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 Under 49¢ 96¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+96%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5 Under 48¢ 86¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+78%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5 Under 49¢ 87¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+78%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline Spurs 65¢ 89¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs UCAM Esports Club 14¢ 16¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Knicks 49¢ 54¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 62¢ 64¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Spurs 50¢ 52¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Spurs 73¢ 71¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? Over 37¢ 34¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Spurs 48¢ 42¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-14%)
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Spurs 49¢ 39¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-20%)
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) Spurs 53¢ 31¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-42%)
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) Spurs 49¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-43%)
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Spurs 50¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-43%)
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Spurs 48¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-47%)
Spread: Spurs (-14.5) Spurs 45¢ 18¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-61%)
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Martina Trevisan Martina Trevisan 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Juan Manuel La Serna Juan Manuel La Serna 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $1 +$1 +83%
Spread: Spurs (-1.5) Jun 11 $1 +$1 +73%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $2 −$1 -34%
Game Handicap: FSK (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5) Jun 10 $1 +$1 +101%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 10 $1 $0 +16%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $1 $0 +48%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $1 $0 +46%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $1 +$1 +101%
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5) Jun 10 $1 +$1 +90%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $1 +$1 +93%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 10 $2 −$1 -47%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $1 $0 +12%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $1 +$1 +93%
Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 10 $2 −$1 -39%
LoL: Solary vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $2 −$1 -44%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Set 1 Winner: Bouzkova vs Vekic Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Set Handicap: Kicker (-1.5) vs Martinez (+1.5) Jun 10 $1 $0 +14%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Tomas Martinez Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5) Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Tucuman: Nicolas Villalon vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Jun 10 $3 $0 -13%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Martina Trevisan Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Juan Manuel La Serna Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by November 30? Nov 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? Nov 20 $90 −$90 -100%
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14? Nov 08 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August Nov 01 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? Nov 01 $26 −$26 -100%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30? Nov 01 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Trump say "Crimea" during conference with Putin on August 15? Nov 01 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Trump say "Biden's war" during conference with Putin on August 15 Nov 01 $10 −$10 -100%
Will China win Intervision 2025? Nov 01 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Russia win Intervision 2025? Nov 01 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Kazakhstan win Intervision 2025? Nov 01 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Kyrgyzstan win Intervision 2025? Nov 01 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30? Oct 26 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31? Oct 25 $25 +$75 +300%
Will Vietnam win Intervision 2025? Sep 21 $5 +$5 +101%
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30? Sep 20 $72 −$27 -37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 83% −$390
sports 11% +$2
other 3% −$10
politics 3% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) BUY Spurs 49¢ $1 27m
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) BUY Spurs 48¢ $1 28m
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) BUY Spurs 48¢ $1 30m
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) BUY Spurs 49¢ $1 32m
Spread: Spurs (-14.5) BUY Spurs 45¢ $1 32m
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) BUY Spurs 53¢ $1 32m
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) BUY Spurs 50¢ $1 41m
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) BUY Spurs 73¢ $1 48m
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? BUY Over 37¢ $1 50m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Under 48¢ $1 54m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Under 48¢ $1 56m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Under 48¢ $1 56m
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) BUY Spurs 50¢ $1 1h
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY UCAM Esports Club 14¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5 BUY Under 48¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 100.5 BUY Under 43¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5 BUY Under 49¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 100.5 BUY Under 42¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 103.5 BUY Under 45¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 103.5 BUY Under 39¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5 BUY Under 45¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5 BUY Under 51¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5 BUY Under 44¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 62¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5 BUY Under 49¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5 BUY Under 50¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5 BUY Under 40¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 BUY Under 49¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5 BUY Under 49¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5 BUY Under 47¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-35.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -25.7% -32.8% 41% 38% -40.6%
≤30d 34 -25.7% -32.8% 41% 38% -40.6%
≤90d 34 -25.7% -32.8% 41% 38% -40.6%
all 52 -29.1% -35.9% 33% 31% -68.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -35.9% 31% -68.4%
10% -42.0% 25% -71.4%
15% -47.6% 23% -74.2%
20% -52.8% 19% -76.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50.50 · official $50.66 (match) · 138 history records