Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:10:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x88a7…c362
crypto · 2200 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$5,141 +23%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,127 · open +$14
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,231
Realized+$5,127
Unrealized+$14
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses1056 / 489
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1545 / 2200
History coverage9d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day252.5
Drawdown27%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1545 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$536
7 days+$4,177
14 days+$5,127
30 days+$5,127
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06? No 95¢ 97¢ $1,000 $1,016 +$16 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+116%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+113%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+89%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$6,560
other 4% +$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $78 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $41 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $13 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $31 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $759 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $94 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $414 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $104 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $40 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $104 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $36 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $39 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $414 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +68%
net ROI/market (all)+20.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1313 +27.3% +15.2% 66% 66% +16.0%
≤30d 1545 +33.4% +20.7% 68% 68% +18.9%
≤90d 1545 +33.4% +20.7% 68% 68% +18.9%
all 1545 +33.4% +20.7% 68% 68% +18.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover252.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +20.7% 68% +18.9%
10% ← realistic here +9.1% 68% +7.6%
15% -1.4% 68% -2.8%
20% -11.1% 66% -12.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,230.79 · official $1,231.22 (match) · 3500 history records