trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -38.8% | -44.6% | 33% | 33% | -27.6% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -38.8% | -44.6% | 33% | 33% | -27.6% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -38.8% | -44.6% | 33% | 33% | -27.6% |
| all | 165 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 50% | 49% | -12.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.5% | 49% | -12.0% |
| 10% | -20.9% | 48% | -20.4% |
| 15% | -28.5% | 46% | -28.1% |
| 20% | -35.5% | 44% | -35.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $15 | $18 | +$3 (+20%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 11¢ | $15 | $15 | +$1 (+5%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 7¢ | $15 | $12 | −$3 (-21%) |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Over | 50¢ | 50¢ | $7 | $7 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 62¢ | 62¢ | $7 | $7 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 51¢ | 50¢ | $7 | $7 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 | Under | 63¢ | 62¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Yes | 23¢ | 22¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $7 | +$7 | +97% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 | Jun 14 | $7 | −$7 | -99% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $7 | +$4 | +57% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $7 | +$7 | +97% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 10 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-8.5) | Jan 07 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | Jan 07 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Timberwolves | Jan 07 | $3 | +$1 | +41% |
| Spurs vs. Grizzlies | Jan 06 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5) | Jan 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) | Jan 06 | $1 | +$1 | +85% |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5) | Jan 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Rockets (-7.5) | Jan 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Lakers (-6.5) | Jan 05 | $2 | +$2 | +89% |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5) | Jan 05 | $1 | +$1 | +96% |
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) | Jan 05 | $2 | +$2 | +82% |
| Spread: Magic (-6.5) | Jan 04 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5) | Jan 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Nets | Jan 04 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | Jan 04 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Spread: Warriors (-12.5) | Jan 04 | $2 | +$2 | +92% |
| Spread: Spurs (-8.5) | Jan 04 | $1 | +$1 | +100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) | Jan 04 | $2 | +$1 | +70% |
| Spread: Lakers (-3.5) | Jan 03 | $1 | +$1 | +89% |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) | Jan 03 | $2 | +$1 | +52% |
| Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5 | Jan 03 | $2 | +$2 | +79% |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) | Jan 03 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Spread: Rockets (-7.5) | Jan 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5 | Jan 03 | $2 | +$2 | +79% |
| Spread: Bucks (-5.5) | Jan 03 | $1 | −$1 | -65% |
| Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5 | Jan 02 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) | Jan 02 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5) | Jan 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5 | Jan 02 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Pistons: O/U 239.5 | Jan 02 | $1 | +$1 | +85% |
| Jazz vs. Clippers | Jan 02 | $10 | +$3 | +28% |
| Spread: Rockets (-10.5) | Jan 02 | $1 | +$1 | +79% |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) | Jan 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Pistons | Jan 02 | $2 | −$1 | -68% |
| Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5 | Jan 01 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 220.5 | Jan 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Mavericks | Jan 01 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jan 01 | $5 | +$2 | +48% |
| Nuggets vs. Raptors | Jan 01 | $5 | +$4 | +85% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5) | Jan 01 | $2 | +$2 | +85% |
| Spread: Raptors (-6.5) | Jan 01 | $3 | −$1 | -39% |