Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:59:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x888c…659c
other · 235 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$87 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$87 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$43
Realized−$87
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses9 / 225
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions1
Markets (closed)234 / 235
History coverage124d
Avg bet$183
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 1 History 234 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$14
14 days−$29
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? No 99¢ 99¢ $43 $43 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $148 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $130 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 13 $646 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 13 $221 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $137 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $192 $0 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 12 $203 $0 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 12 $152 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $415 −$1 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $399 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $169 $0 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $280 −$1 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $189 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $226 $0 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 11 $205 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $442 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $306 −$1 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $405 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $45 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $147 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $99 $0 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $179 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $169 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $112 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 09 $418 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $183 $0 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $263 $0 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $46 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $328 −$1 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $379 $0 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 07 $101 $0 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $280 −$1 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 06 $190 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $616 −$1 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $641 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $310 −$1 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $287 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 06 $188 $0 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 05 $153 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 05 $410 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $253 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $345 −$1 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 04 $557 −$1 -0%
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 04 $213 −$1 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 03 $339 −$1 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $141 $0 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $49 $0 -0%
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $49 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $638 −$1 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 02 $370 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% −$33
sports 24% −$18
culture 8% −$8
politics 7% −$4
economics 5% +$1
crypto 5% −$20
world 4% −$3
tech 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $43 9m
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $25 1h
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 97¢ $25 2h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $43 4h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $43 5h
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $43 6h
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $43 7h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 100¢ $43 13h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY No 100¢ $43 15h
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $43 16h
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 97¢ $44 16h
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $44 19h
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $44 21h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $44 25h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $44 27h
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $44 28h
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $44 30h
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $44 31h
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $44 32h
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $44 34h
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $44 35h
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $44 38h
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $44 40h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $44 41h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $44 42h
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $44 2d
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $44 2d
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $45 2d
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $45 2d
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $45 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 79 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 181 -0.2% -9.7% 2% 0% -9.7%
all 234 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.4% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $43.01 · official $43.01 (match) · 1376 history records