Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:26:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x888a…7197
crypto · 1088 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$181 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$180 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$4
Realized−$180
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses745 / 382
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1127 / 1088
Avg bet$2
Trades / day17.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1127 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$72
7 days−$87
14 days−$78
30 days−$78
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 96¢ 94¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 50¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 83¢ 6¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-93%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$111
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-21.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 184 -28.8% -35.6% 51% 29% -29.0%
≤30d 288 -17.8% -25.6% 59% 37% -22.1%
≤90d 307 -18.7% -26.5% 59% 37% -23.1%
all 1127 -13.1% -21.4% 66% 37% -17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.4% 37% -17.8%
10% -28.9% 17% -25.7%
15% -35.8% 7% -32.9%
20% -42.1% 4% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.12 · official $4.12 (match) · 3500 history records