Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:11:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x8888…0b39
crypto · 31 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18,727 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$22,078 · open +$232
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12,126
Realized−$22,078
Unrealized+$232
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses19 / 447
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Open positions24
Markets (closed)466 / 31
History coverage8d
Avg bet$3,743
Trades / day430.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 24 History 466 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24,917
7 days−$23,267
14 days−$22,078
30 days−$22,078
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? No 97¢ 99¢ $2,309 $2,376 +$67 (+3%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes 68¢ 75¢ $2,048 $2,259 +$211 (+10%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? No 93¢ 94¢ $1,275 $1,292 +$17 (+1%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No 81¢ 84¢ $968 $1,003 +$35 (+4%)
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 59¢ 69¢ $615 $719 +$104 (+17%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? No 20¢ 26¢ $524 $674 +$149 (+28%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No 89¢ 91¢ $656 $672 +$16 (+2%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No 49¢ 50¢ $449 $467 +$18 (+4%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? No 44¢ 62¢ $162 $227 +$65 (+40%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No 94¢ 93¢ $194 $192 −$2 (-1%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $205 $189 −$16 (-8%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? No 77¢ 84¢ $168 $184 +$16 (+10%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No 77¢ 92¢ $123 $146 +$23 (+19%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No 96¢ 98¢ $142 $145 +$3 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? No 69¢ 80¢ $115 $134 +$19 (+16%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? Yes 60¢ 74¢ $102 $126 +$24 (+24%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June? Yes 21¢ 24¢ $106 $122 +$16 (+15%)
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? Yes 17¢ 20¢ $108 $122 +$14 (+13%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No 92¢ 98¢ $105 $112 +$7 (+7%)
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? No 96¢ 98¢ $104 $106 +$2 (+2%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes 7¢ 4¢ $170 $98 −$73 (-43%)
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? No 66¢ 56¢ $108 $93 −$15 (-14%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? No 91¢ 94¢ $89 $92 +$3 (+3%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? No 74¢ 80¢ $70 $76 +$5 (+8%)
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? Yes 39¢ 44¢ $51 $58 +$7 (+13%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$49 -117%
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $122 −$122 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $149 −$149 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$46 -133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $179 −$160 -89%
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 2PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$47 -156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $133 −$133 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$23 +124%
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $265 −$286 -108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$50 -399%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $87 −$87 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$229 -586%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $353 −$360 -102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$71 -120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$12 -260%
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $132 −$139 -105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$40 -252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$14 -212%
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$5 -342%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $69 −$111 -162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $66 −$57 -86%
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 7AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$19 -140%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 51% +$60
crypto 47% +$2,864
other 2% +$155
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL No 22¢ $2 3m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? SELL No 92¢ $159 7m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? SELL No 92¢ $160 7m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? SELL No 92¢ $160 7m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? BUY Yes 9¢ $17 10m
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? BUY Yes 43¢ $20 10m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? BUY Yes 9¢ $17 10m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? BUY Yes 9¢ $17 10m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL No 25¢ $1 10m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? BUY Yes 9¢ $17 12m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? SELL No 85¢ $9 14m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? SELL No 92¢ $37 15m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? SELL No 93¢ $139 16m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? SELL No 85¢ $7 23m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? SELL No 87¢ $38 24m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? BUY No 90¢ $182 29m
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL Yes 6¢ $6 29m
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? SELL Yes 11¢ $5 30m
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $157 30m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? SELL No 85¢ $14 30m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? SELL No 85¢ $25 30m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? BUY Yes 20¢ $11 30m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? SELL No 63¢ $40 30m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? SELL No 85¢ $25 30m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? BUY Yes 9¢ $16 30m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? SELL No 93¢ $158 30m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? BUY No 90¢ $162 30m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? BUY Yes 9¢ $16 30m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? BUY Yes 9¢ $16 30m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? SELL No 85¢ $25 30m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-88.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 465 -87.6% -88.8% 4% 3% -41.5%
≤30d 466 -87.2% -88.4% 4% 3% -38.9%
≤90d 466 -87.2% -88.4% 4% 3% -38.9%
all 466 -87.2% -88.4% 4% 3% -38.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover430.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -88.4% 3% -38.9%
10% ← realistic here -89.5% 3% -44.8%
15% -90.5% 3% -50.1%
20% -91.5% 2% -55.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12,126.09 · official $12,126.21 (match) · 3500 history records