Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T06:56:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x887f…7289
sports · 70 markets active 4h ago
7.5score
+$265 +22%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$259 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$474
Realized+$259
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses22 / 20
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions27
Markets (closed)42 / 70
Avg bet$17
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown18%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 27 History 42 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$43
7 days+$48
14 days+$98
30 days+$98
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Under 50¢ 50¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 40¢ 40¢ $40 $41 +$1 (+2%)
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 48¢ 51¢ $35 $37 +$2 (+6%)
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 32¢ 31¢ $32 $31 −$0 (-2%)
Will Federico Valverde score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 57¢ 68¢ $26 $30 +$5 (+18%)
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 31¢ 30¢ $27 $27 −$0 (-2%)
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 39¢ 37¢ $27 $26 −$1 (-5%)
Will Germany reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 24¢ 23¢ $23 $23 −$1 (-3%)
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 52¢ 57¢ $19 $21 +$2 (+10%)
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 71¢ 74¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+4%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 56¢ 57¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+3%)
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 63¢ 64¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 70¢ 69¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Uruguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 39¢ 40¢ $16 $16 +$1 (+4%)
Will Turkiye reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 55¢ 53¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-4%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Over 42¢ 40¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-6%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 9¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 69¢ 69¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Algeria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+0%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 63¢ 82¢ $5 $7 +$1 (+30%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Under 33¢ 33¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 52¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 64¢ 18¢ $15 $4 −$11 (-71%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 +$7 +129%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5) Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5 Jun 11 $36 +$28 +78%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $25 +$44 +172%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 +$12 +238%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5) Jun 11 $4 +$13 +325%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5) Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5 Jun 10 $5 +$10 +197%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5 Jun 10 $5 +$11 +216%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5) Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 10 $8 −$8 -98%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5 Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Jun 10 $7 −$7 -98%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5) Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $7 +$5 +65%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC? May 31 $5 +$31 +596%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $20 +$15 +73%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score May 30 $5 +$5 +90%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 May 30 $5 +$4 +76%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 30 $5 +$12 +226%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $15 −$15 -98%
Spread: Thunder (-16.5) May 06 $20 +$11 +54%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5 May 06 $10 +$5 +53%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5 May 06 $5 +$6 +109%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5 May 06 $19 +$28 +147%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 May 05 $101 +$29 +29%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1? Apr 29 $11 −$11 -99%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5 Apr 28 $5 −$5 -98%
Lakers vs. Rockets Apr 25 $20 +$16 +79%
Celtics vs. 76ers Apr 25 $25 −$25 -98%
Rockets vs. Lakers Apr 22 $40 +$40 +99%
Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5 Apr 21 $10 +$28 +276%
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5 Apr 20 $20 $0 -2%
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Apr 20 $9 $0 -4%
Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5 Apr 19 $40 −$1 -4%
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5 Apr 19 $20 −$20 -99%
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5 Apr 16 $70 +$61 +87%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 62% +$252
other 36% +$4
crypto 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 BUY Under 50¢ $51 3h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $8 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $5 5h
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 21¢ $5 13h
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 20¢ $5 13h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 17h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 17h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 56¢ $20 17h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 53¢ $5 24h
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 33¢ $5 24h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $15 24h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 64¢ $15 28h
Will Germany reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 22¢ $11 28h
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 31¢ $16 28h
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5 BUY Under 54¢ $20 29h
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 BUY Under 36¢ $25 29h
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5 BUY Under 57¢ $16 30h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 44¢ $10 30h
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 19¢ $5 30h
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 26¢ $5 38h
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5) BUY Atlanta Braves 34¢ $5 38h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 47¢ $10 38h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 46¢ $8 38h
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5) BUY Miami Marlins 23¢ $4 38h
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) BUY Minnesota Twins 29¢ $5 38h
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 25¢ $5 38h
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) BUY Seattle Mariners 40¢ $5 38h
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) BUY Washington Nationals 38¢ $7 38h
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 33¢ $5 38h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 38h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)+27.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +11.0% +0.4% 40% 40% +15.0%
≤30d 26 +45.5% +31.6% 50% 50% +28.8%
≤90d 42 +40.6% +27.2% 52% 52% +26.2%
all 42 +40.6% +27.2% 52% 52% +26.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +27.2% 52% +26.2%
10% +15.0% 52% +14.2%
15% +3.9% 50% +3.1%
20% -6.3% 50% -7.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $474.17 · official $474.34 (match) · 119 history records