trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Switzerland | 58¢ | 58¢ | $40 | $40 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Over | 46¢ | 46¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) | Knicks | 51¢ | 0¢ | $44 | $0 | −$44 (-100%) |
| Crystal Palace vs. Brighton: O/U 2.5 | Over | 32¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5 | Over | 66¢ | 0¢ | $60 | $0 | −$60 (-100%) |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) | FC Bayern München | 56¢ | 0¢ | $56 | $0 | −$56 (-100%) |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $0 | −$6 (-100%) |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | Clippers | 62¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Spread: Spurs (-1.5) | Spurs | 55¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5 | Over | 44¢ | 0¢ | $45 | $0 | −$45 (-100%) |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5 | Over | 51¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Warriors vs. Trail Blazers | Warriors | 80¢ | 0¢ | $51 | $0 | −$51 (-100%) |
| Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5 | Over | 58¢ | 0¢ | $85 | $0 | −$85 (-100%) |
| Nuggets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 123.5 | Over | 57¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $0 | −$100 (-100%) |
| Valencia vs. Real Betis: O/U 2.5 | Over | 30¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | +$58 | +1122% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | +$23 | +442% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $41 | +$58 | +143% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $41 | +$28 | +70% |
| Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $5 | −$4 | -74% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $41 | +$51 | +126% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $58 | +$25 | +42% |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5 | Dec 19 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5 | Dec 19 | $45 | −$45 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Trail Blazers | Dec 15 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14? | Dec 14 | $149 | +$60 | +40% |
| FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5 | Dec 14 | $102 | +$46 | +46% |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) | Dec 14 | $56 | −$56 | -100% |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 | Dec 14 | $84 | +$73 | +87% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5 | Nov 16 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-1.5) | Nov 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Nov 14 | $5 | −$1 | -22% |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025? | Nov 14 | $5 | +$1 | +22% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5 | Nov 13 | $85 | −$85 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) | Nov 12 | $44 | −$44 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Kings | Nov 12 | $61 | +$16 | +26% |
| Nuggets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 123.5 | Nov 12 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Thunder | Nov 12 | $100 | +$26 | +26% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | Nov 11 | $11 | +$15 | +137% |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | Nov 11 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Mavericks | Nov 11 | $100 | +$50 | +50% |
| Lakers vs. Hornets | Nov 11 | $79 | +$24 | +30% |
| Timberwolves vs. Kings | Nov 10 | $20 | +$10 | +51% |
| Rockets vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5 | Nov 10 | $20 | +$19 | +96% |
| Valencia vs. Real Betis: O/U 2.5 | Nov 09 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: Manchester City (-0.5) | Nov 09 | $66 | +$47 | +72% |
| Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09? | Nov 09 | $20 | +$15 | +76% |
| Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5 | Nov 09 | $62 | −$61 | -98% |
| Crystal Palace vs. Brighton: O/U 2.5 | Nov 09 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 | Nov 09 | $80 | +$36 | +45% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner | Nov 09 | $20 | +$26 | +133% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +267.5% | +232.5% | 86% | 86% | +101.1% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +267.5% | +232.5% | 86% | 86% | +101.1% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +267.5% | +232.5% | 86% | 86% | +101.1% |
| all | 36 | +44.6% | +30.8% | 58% | 58% | -5.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +30.8% | 58% | -5.8% |
| 10% | +18.3% | 56% | -14.8% |
| 15% | +6.9% | 47% | -23.0% |
| 20% | -3.6% | 33% | -30.6% |