Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:56:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x886e…fb0b
crypto · 11 markets active 2h ago
3.5score
+$6 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses8 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)11 / 11
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day10.6
Drawdown78%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $5 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +73%
net ROI/market (all)+1.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +12.4% +1.7% 73% 73% +5.1%
≤30d 11 +12.4% +1.7% 73% 73% +5.1%
≤90d 11 +12.4% +1.7% 73% 73% +5.1%
all 11 +12.4% +1.7% 73% 73% +5.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +1.7% 73% +5.1%
10% -8.0% 55% -5.0%
15% -16.9% 36% -14.2%
20% -25.1% 27% -22.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 19 history records