Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:38:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x886c…65db
crypto · 449 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$232 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$232 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$232
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses215 / 234
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)449 / 449
History coverage8d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day157.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 449 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$59
7 days−$232
14 days−$232
30 days−$232
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 8? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 7? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$4 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$224
weather 0% −$1
sports 0% −$6
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 449 -0.2% -9.7% 48% 45% -16.6%
≤30d 449 -0.2% -9.7% 48% 45% -16.6%
≤90d 449 -0.2% -9.7% 48% 45% -16.6%
all 449 -0.2% -9.7% 48% 45% -16.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover157.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 45% -16.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 42% -24.6%
15% -26.2% 40% -31.9%
20% -33.5% 35% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1530 history records