Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:50:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x885b…955c
crypto · 116 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$33 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$32 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$32
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses81 / 34
Open positions1
Markets (closed)115 / 116
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day148.5
Drawdown74%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 115 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days+$32
14 days+$32
30 days+$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 77¢ 94¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +173%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$2 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$9 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$5 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$5 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +58%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$3 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +68%
net ROI/market (all)-3.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 115 +6.7% -3.5% 70% 68% -5.7%
≤30d 115 +6.7% -3.5% 70% 68% -5.7%
≤90d 115 +6.7% -3.5% 70% 68% -5.7%
all 115 +6.7% -3.5% 70% 68% -5.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover148.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.5% 68% -5.7%
10% ← realistic here -12.7% 55% -14.7%
15% -21.2% 39% -22.9%
20% -28.9% 27% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.14 · official $4.97 · 332 history records