Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:12:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x8857…c270
politics · 7 markets active 584d ago
0.0score
+$7,176,673 +178%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,176,673 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY politics specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$7,176,673
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses7 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)7 / 7
History coverage6d
Avg bet$576,595
Trades / day613.6
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi Nov 12 $52,491 +$1,380,695 +2630%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? Nov 12 $545,981 +$1,866,702 +342%
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? Nov 07 $5,700 +$59,299 +1040%
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? Nov 07 $34,646 +$31,492 +91%
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? Nov 07 $289,128 +$283,416 +98%
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? Nov 07 $210,482 +$1,156,348 +549%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 07 $2,897,738 +$2,398,721 +83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 100% +$7,176,673
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 47¢ $4,592 583d
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 47¢ $33 583d
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 48¢ $3,455 583d
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 48¢ $676 583d
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 48¢ $3 583d
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 49¢ $3,757 583d
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 49¢ $9,800 583d
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 50¢ $25,000 583d
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 50¢ $305 583d
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 51¢ $25,500 583d
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 52¢ $44,840 583d
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 52¢ $632 583d
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 52¢ $11 583d
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 52¢ $6,517 583d
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 52¢ $1,283 583d
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 52¢ $1,040 583d
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 52¢ $217 583d
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 52¢ $60 583d
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 52¢ $734 583d
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 52¢ $130 583d
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 52¢ $130 583d
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY No 50¢ $1,853 583d
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY No 52¢ $1,032 583d
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 53¢ $7,950 583d
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 53¢ $5,148 583d
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 53¢ $563 583d
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY Yes 53¢ $113 583d
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY No 53¢ $10,600 583d
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY No 53¢ $3,900 583d
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY No 53¢ $20 583d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+533.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 7 +600.5% +533.8% 100% 100% +143.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover613.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +533.8% 100% +143.9%
10% +473.1% 100% +120.6%
15% ← realistic here +417.7% 100% +99.3%
20% +367.0% 100% +79.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records