Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:56:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x8849…9a83
sports · 1356 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$14,075 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13,871 · open −$204
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$196
Realized−$13,871
Unrealized−$204
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses691 / 663
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Est. fees paid−$945
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1354 / 1356
History coverage127d
Avg bet$127
Trades / day23.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 1354 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$123
7 days−$769
14 days−$817
30 days−$1,677
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 62¢ 40¢ $300 $196 −$104 (-35%)
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) FUT Esports 45¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Xtreme Gaming 38¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 9¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner G2 Esports 50¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Liquid 56¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Global Esports 61¢ 0¢ $154 $0 −$154 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 40¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Alliance 42¢ 0¢ $230 $0 −$230 (-100%)
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5) LGD Gaming 62¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 35¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner paiN 56¢ 0¢ $212 $0 −$212 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 62¢ 0¢ $230 $0 −$230 (-100%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 63¢ 0¢ $189 $0 −$189 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 48¢ 0¢ $240 $0 −$240 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Lynn Vision 36¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5) Connecticut Sun 43¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 32¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 38¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In Weibo Gaming 39¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs FaZe 61¢ 0¢ $307 $0 −$307 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 35¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5) Minnesota Lynx 55¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5 Under 52¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $71 +$46 +64%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5) Jun 13 $102 +$102 +101%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $51 −$48 -94%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $101 +$58 +58%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $191 −$189 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $244 −$240 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $309 +$43 +14%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $80 +$63 +79%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $101 −$96 -96%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $41 −$40 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $100 +$100 +100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $112 −$11 -10%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $101 +$50 +50%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $108 −$108 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $102 −$25 -25%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $51 +$100 +197%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $102 +$107 +105%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $101 +$42 +41%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $101 +$47 +47%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $95 +$96 +102%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $101 −$55 -54%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $102 +$116 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $48 +$34 +71%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $102 −$86 -84%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $201 +$166 +82%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $75 −$74 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $51 −$49 -96%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 11 $102 +$28 +28%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 11 $62 −$12 -19%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5 Jun 11 $101 −$94 -93%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $232 −$230 -99%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $102 −$72 -71%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $101 −$41 -41%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $156 −$154 -99%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $162 +$20 +12%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5) Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 10 $17 −$17 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $28 −$28 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% −$12,853
crypto 6% −$1,370
other 0% +$149
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $117 3m
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 44¢ $102 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 60¢ $71 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 78¢ $201 1h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 45¢ $102 1h
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5) SELL Seattle Storm 100¢ $204 2h
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5) BUY Seattle Storm 49¢ $102 7h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 3¢ $3 14h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 44¢ $51 14h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 22¢ $51 14h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 99¢ $160 14h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 62¢ $101 16h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $191 17h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 48¢ $244 18h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 71¢ $352 19h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 100¢ $0 19h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Legacy 2¢ $4 19h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 61¢ $309 19h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 44¢ $101 20h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 38¢ $41 21h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 100¢ $143 21h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 35¢ $102 21h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $200 22h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 55¢ $70 22h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 56¢ $10 22h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 50¢ $25 22h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 50¢ $22 22h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 50¢ $53 22h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $151 23h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $151 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 102 -22.6% -30.0% 41% 41% -16.8%
≤30d 333 -7.3% -16.2% 50% 48% -14.6%
≤90d 1001 -8.6% -17.3% 50% 48% -19.5%
all 1354 -5.9% -14.9% 51% 50% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 50% -16.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 46% -24.8%
15% -30.5% 40% -32.0%
20% -37.3% 31% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $196.48 · official $196.48 (match) · 3500 history records