Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:29:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x8833…07ec
sports · 1226 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$66 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$65 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24
Realized−$65
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses716 / 505
Est. fees paid−$28
Open positions7
Markets (closed)1221 / 1226
History coverage15d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day156.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 7 History 1221 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$21
14 days−$76
30 days−$65
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) XLG Gaming 43¢ 100¢ $4 $10 +$6 (+132%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Over 56¢ 69¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+23%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Under 49¢ 28¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-42%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Over 50¢ 26¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-48%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 78¢ 78¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 44¢ 12¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-72%)
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 39¢ 27¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-33%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner EDward Gaming 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $8 +$3 +34%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 +$3 +86%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2 +$1 +46%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $3 +$3 +114%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$1 +60%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$2 +83%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $2 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $2 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$1 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 +$1 +52%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 -11%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +27%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $5 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 −$1 -34%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 $0 -8%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$1 +93%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $3 $0 -4%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $2 −$1 -36%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5) Jun 12 $5 −$3 -56%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $2 +$1 +61%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$54
other 2% −$11
crypto 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 78¢ $2 10m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 50¢ $4 1h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 49¢ $4 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 56¢ $5 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 75¢ $1 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 90¢ $2 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 84¢ $2 2h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 61¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 79¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 67¢ $3 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 68¢ $2 4h
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) BUY XLG Gaming 43¢ $4 4h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 53¢ $3 5h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY Solary 93¢ $2 5h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 46¢ $3 7h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 43¢ $2 7h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 91¢ $2 8h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 62¢ $2 9h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Monte 50¢ $2 9h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 87¢ $2 11h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $2 11h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 56¢ $2 11h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $2 12h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 51¢ $2 12h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 94¢ $2 13h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 61¢ $1 17h
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 BUY Over 92¢ $5 18h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 80¢ $1 19h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 BUY Over 65¢ $3 19h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 59¢ $1 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 592 -0.2% -9.7% 59% 50% -11.0%
≤30d 1221 -1.4% -10.8% 59% 48% -11.9%
≤90d 1221 -1.4% -10.8% 59% 48% -11.9%
all 1221 -1.4% -10.8% 59% 48% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover156.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 48% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 37% -20.3%
15% -27.1% 27% -28.0%
20% -34.3% 17% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.99 · official $23.99 (match) · 3500 history records