Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:06:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
88 0x881a…0321 crypto 1141 markets active 11h ago coverage 30d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 29d only
✗ bot/MM pace (90 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$1,245 (+2%) realized +$1,245 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate63%716W / 425L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$52per market
Trades / day89.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$3
14 days−$58
30 days−$173
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$27
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (90 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -33.9% -40.2% 40% 6% -10.9%
≤30d 1138 -3.5% -12.7% 63% 3% -9.8%
≤90d 1141 -2.8% -12.1% 63% 3% -9.6%
all 1141 -2.8% -12.1% 63% 3% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover89.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 3% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 2% -18.2%
15% -28.2% 1% -26.1%
20% -35.2% 1% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
94% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$4 · ×0.59 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.99 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,245
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses716 / 425
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1141 / 1141
History coverage30d ⚠
Avg bet$52
Trades / day89.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1141 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +33%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $13 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $12 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $19 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 09 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 09 $8 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records