Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T11:48:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
88 0x880e…ae38 crypto 75 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (409 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$175 (-1%) realized −$175 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate97%73W / 2L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$162per market
Trades / day409.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$173
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (409 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 75 -1.6% -11.0% 97% 0% -10.8%
≤30d 75 -1.6% -11.0% 97% 0% -10.8%
≤90d 75 -1.6% -11.0% 97% 0% -10.8%
all 75 -1.6% -11.0% 97% 0% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover409.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 0% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 0% -19.4%
15% -27.3% 0% -27.1%
20% -34.4% 0% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$151 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.43 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$175
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses73 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)75 / 75
History coverage1d
Avg bet$162
Trades / day409.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 75 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 25 $149 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 25 $75 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 25 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 25 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 25 $147 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 25 $126 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11PM ET Jun 25 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 25 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 25 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 25 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 25 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 25 $150 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 25 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 25 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 25 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 25 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 25 $149 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1PM ET Jun 24 $44 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 24 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 24 $106 −$102 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 24 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 24 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 24 $200 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $151 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $31 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $119 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $21 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $99 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $59 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $22 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $59 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $151 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $150 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $151 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $150 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $150 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $151 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $150 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $32 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $120 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $31 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 422 history records