Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:00:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x87f3…d35c
crypto · 1056 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$465 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$476 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,047
Realized−$476
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses922 / 131
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1053 / 1056
History coverage17d
Avg bet$56
Trades / day113.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1053 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$158
7 days−$486
14 days−$431
30 days−$476
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $79 $80 +$1 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $77 $78 +$1 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $77 $78 +$1 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $77 $78 +$1 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $76 $77 +$1 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $74 $75 +$1 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $74 $75 +$1 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $73 $74 +$1 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $73 $74 +$1 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $73 $74 +$1 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $72 $73 +$1 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $72 $73 +$1 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $70 $71 +$1 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $53 $53 +$1 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 92¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $73 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$48 +733%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $38 +$15 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $53 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $67 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $60 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $63 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $42 +$8 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $27 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$23 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$29 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$64 +4900%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $37 −$36 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $58 +$2 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $77 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $62 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $78 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $63 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $77 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $39 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $59 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$19 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$11 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $65 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $53 +$7 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $38 +$16 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$11 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $77 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $56 +$7 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $65 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $63 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $54 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $67 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $46 +$13 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$476
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $73 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $6 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $25 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $9 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $7 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $38 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $53 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $67 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $63 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $53 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-1.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 392 +10.5% -0.0% 85% 18% -11.9%
≤30d 1053 +9.0% -1.4% 88% 16% -10.4%
≤90d 1053 +9.0% -1.4% 88% 16% -10.4%
all 1053 +9.0% -1.4% 88% 16% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover113.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.4% 16% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -10.8% 9% -18.9%
15% -19.5% 6% -26.8%
20% -27.4% 4% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,046.51 · official $1,045.96 (match) · 2961 history records