Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:07:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x87f0…22f0
crypto · 273 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$160 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$160 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$160
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses189 / 84
Open positions0
Markets (closed)273 / 273
History coverage45d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day14.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 273 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days+$7
30 days−$65
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 08 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 08 $32 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 08 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 08 $32 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 08 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 08 $32 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 08 $4 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 07 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 07 $31 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 07 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 07 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 07 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 07 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 07 $20 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 07 $31 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 07 $4 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 07 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 07 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 06 $10 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 06 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 06 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 06 $2 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 05 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 05 $14 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 05 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 05 $6 +$1 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$160
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $12 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $10 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $12 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $12 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $14 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -5.2% -14.3% 74% 21% -10.4%
≤30d 197 +0.8% -8.8% 69% 34% -12.8%
≤90d 273 -5.6% -14.6% 69% 30% -15.8%
all 273 -5.6% -14.6% 69% 30% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.6% 30% -15.8%
10% -22.8% 16% -23.8%
15% -30.2% 9% -31.2%
20% -37.1% 7% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1108 history records