trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 27 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 15% | 0% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.7% | 0% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -19.3% | 0% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -27.1% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -34.2% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $27 | $27 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 22 | $61 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 04 | $46 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 04 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 02 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 02 | $60 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 01 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 01 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 31 | $3 | −$1 | -29% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 29 | $53 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 23 | $23 | −$2 | -9% |
| Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series? | Jul 10 | $24 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August | Jul 10 | $23 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | Jul 09 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%? | Jul 09 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series? | Jul 09 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31? | Jul 09 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July? | Jul 08 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cameron Norrie win Wimbledon 2025? | Jul 08 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025? | Jul 08 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | Jul 08 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%? | Jul 08 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 11% and 12% in | Jul 07 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in | Jul 07 | $7 | $0 | -1% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Jul 07 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Jul 01 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on June 20? | Jun 21 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Pres | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +1% |