Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:15:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x87da…53d1
sports · 217 markets active 14h ago
0.0score
−$787,815 -59%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$787,815 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$787,815
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses110 / 479
Whale WR (big bets)39%
Est. fees paid−$19,330
Open positions0
Markets (closed)589 / 217
Avg bet$6,191
Trades / day118.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 589 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$861,084
7 days−$778,739
14 days−$692,463
30 days−$787,815
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Aurora 36¢ 0¢ $3,799 $0 −$3,799 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A NRG 19¢ 0¢ $900 $0 −$900 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner Liquid 59¢ 0¢ $885 $0 −$885 (-100%)
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner REKONIX 30¢ 0¢ $659 $0 −$659 (-100%)
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Tundra Esports 59¢ 0¢ $6,347 $0 −$6,347 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winner G2 44¢ 0¢ $616 $0 −$616 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner 3DMAX 59¢ 0¢ $1,903 $0 −$1,903 (-100%)
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner L1ga Team 34¢ 0¢ $4,639 $0 −$4,639 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Team Falcons 54¢ 0¢ $4,554 $0 −$4,554 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO1) - ESL One Birmingham Group A BetBoom Team 63¢ 0¢ $2,932 $0 −$2,932 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners - Map 1 Winner Sinners 26¢ 0¢ $139 $0 −$139 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage PARIVISION 62¢ 0¢ $868 $0 −$868 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid 39¢ 0¢ $2,980 $0 −$2,980 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B PlayTime 47¢ 0¢ $3,742 $0 −$3,742 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Xtreme Gaming 51¢ 0¢ $4,545 $0 −$4,545 (-100%)
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group A OG 47¢ 0¢ $4,201 $0 −$4,201 (-100%)
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs Heroic 53¢ 0¢ $3,923 $0 −$3,923 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 47¢ 0¢ $7,274 $0 −$7,274 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs Aurora 53¢ 0¢ $14,955 $0 −$14,955 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 56¢ 0¢ $3,920 $0 −$3,920 (-100%)
Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner OG 62¢ 0¢ $2,291 $0 −$2,291 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Spirit 60¢ 0¢ $2,971 $0 −$2,971 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 45¢ 0¢ $4,507 $0 −$4,507 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $885 −$885 -100%
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $659 −$659 -100%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 12 $6,347 −$6,347 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $616 −$616 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,903 −$1,902 -100%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $4,639 −$4,639 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,554 −$4,554 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO1) - ESL One Birmingham Group A Jun 12 $2,932 −$2,968 -101%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $139 −$139 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage Jun 12 $868 −$868 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,980 −$2,980 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $4,545 −$4,545 -100%
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group A Jun 12 $4,201 −$4,201 -100%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs Jun 12 $3,923 −$3,923 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,920 −$3,920 -100%
Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,291 −$2,291 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,971 −$2,981 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,507 −$4,507 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,502 −$4,502 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $4,991 −$4,991 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $4,460 −$4,460 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,697 −$3,697 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,188 −$3,188 -100%
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $7,090 −$7,090 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5,282 −$5,282 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5,001 −$5,001 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,001 −$3,001 -100%
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B Jun 12 $2,046 −$2,046 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,412 −$1,412 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 12 $8,200 −$8,200 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B Jun 12 $1,734 −$1,734 -100%
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $6,405 −$6,405 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $6,051 −$6,202 -102%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Jun 12 $1,964 −$1,554 -79%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Grou Jun 12 $803 −$803 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 12 $2,222 −$2,222 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $744 −$744 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs Jun 12 $6,101 −$6,101 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,741 −$3,741 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Jun 12 $1,722 −$1,722 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,296 −$3,296 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5,591 −$5,591 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $7,670 −$7,670 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs Jun 12 $629 −$629 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$79,685
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 46¢ $3,048 13h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $5,233 21h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 42¢ $2,238 22h
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) SELL BIG 100¢ $5,558 2d
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) BUY BIG 71¢ $3,984 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 45¢ $1,372 2d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 100¢ $7,355 2d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 51¢ $304 2d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 51¢ $696 2d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 31¢ $41 2d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 52¢ $203 2d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 53¢ $33 2d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 53¢ $2,607 2d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner BUY paiN 51¢ $3,081 2d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner BUY paiN 50¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner BUY paiN 50¢ $30 2d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team Yandex 78¢ $18 4d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team Yandex 78¢ $390 4d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team Yandex 78¢ $317 4d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team Yandex 64¢ $786 4d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team Yandex 64¢ $9 4d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team Yandex 64¢ $5 4d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team Yandex 64¢ $11,625 4d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL LGD Gaming 100¢ $17,458 4d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 26¢ $1,022 4d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 38¢ $509 4d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 46¢ $76 4d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 46¢ $230 4d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 46¢ $6 4d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 46¢ $6 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-67.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 395 -91.3% -92.1% 5% 5% -77.4%
≤30d 589 -64.5% -67.9% 19% 19% -42.8%
≤90d 589 -64.5% -67.9% 19% 19% -42.8%
all 589 -64.5% -67.9% 19% 19% -42.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover118.1 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -67.9% 19% -42.8%
10% -70.9% 19% -48.3%
15% ← realistic here -73.7% 18% -53.3%
20% -76.3% 16% -57.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records