trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +28.4% | +16.2% | 71% | 57% | +1.4% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +9.4% | -1.0% | 56% | 44% | -2.2% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -10.5% | -19.0% | 45% | 36% | -6.6% |
| all | 11 | -10.5% | -19.0% | 45% | 36% | -6.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.0% | 36% | -6.6% |
| 10% | -26.8% | 36% | -15.5% |
| 15% | -33.8% | 27% | -23.7% |
| 20% | -40.3% | 18% | -31.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $1,000 | $945 | −$55 (-5%) |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $500 | $417 | −$83 (-17%) |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 34¢ | 26¢ | $12 | $9 | −$3 (-22%) |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 4¢ | $35 | $6 | −$29 (-82%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $51 | +$47 | +93% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | +$86 | +170% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $152 | −$112 | -73% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $51 | −$36 | -71% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $151 | +$66 | +43% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $26 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $26 | +$9 | +34% |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | May 21 | $18 | −$18 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | May 20 | $5 | −$1 | -14% |
| Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026? | May 15 | $15 | −$15 | -97% |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31? | May 15 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |