Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:28:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x87c0…244e
sports · 992 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$756 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$164 · open −$168
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$164
Unrealized−$168
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses439 / 550
Est. fees paid−$814
Open positions3
Markets (closed)989 / 992
History coverage63d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day29.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 3 History 989 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$111
7 days+$90
14 days+$4
30 days−$360
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner 9z 49¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 45¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 27¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season SK Gaming 56¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner FURIA Esports 32¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
CJ McCollum: Points O/U 19.5 Yes 56¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Shifters 35¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner Disguised 30¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 53¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins Miami Marlins 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? No 51¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Tommy Paul 41¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage MOUZ 53¢ 0¢ $117 $0 −$117 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Flyers Flyers 41¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A MOUZ 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets New York Yankees 27¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies Arizona Diamondbacks 34¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays Yes 42¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Baltimore Orioles 39¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Taiyo Yamanaka Taiyo Yamanaka 34¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bratislava: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Emilio Nava Pedro Boscardin Dias 30¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Jun 14 $71 +$49 +68%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $27 −$4 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -96%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston Jun 14 $21 −$21 -98%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $90 +$61 +68%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Jun 14 $65 +$73 +112%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Ind Jun 14 $35 +$32 +91%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Jun 14 $81 −$80 -99%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $64 +$16 +25%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 14 $80 +$85 +106%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $30 −$30 -99%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 14 $40 −$39 -98%
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5 Jun 14 $42 −$27 -65%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $25 −$15 -60%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 13 $50 −$49 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $36 −$35 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $50 −$49 -98%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $100 −$98 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $71 +$76 +106%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $12 −$12 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $50 +$41 +83%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $112 −$110 -99%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $41 +$181 +441%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $26 −$25 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $30 +$86 +291%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $28 −$27 -98%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa Jun 13 $15 +$112 +728%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $17 +$20 +118%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $19 +$20 +105%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $39 +$33 +86%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $50 −$49 -98%
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $39 +$30 +76%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $59 −$58 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $148 −$146 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $55 +$40 +73%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $46 +$46 +101%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $15 −$14 -98%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $71 −$70 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $100 +$101 +101%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $44 +$56 +126%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $27 −$27 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le Jun 12 $29 +$9 +30%
Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Five Fears (BO1) - North Americ Jun 12 $18 +$8 +41%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $33 −$32 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $27 +$55 +200%
Bratislava: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Emilio Nava Jun 09 $9 −$9 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% +$452
crypto 7% +$28
other 3% −$480
weather 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London SELL Leviatán Esports 95¢ $120 1m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 27¢ $24 35m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 28¢ $24 36m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 31¢ $27 37m
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 62¢ $24 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $26 53m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 49¢ $80 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston BUY Taylah Preston 24¢ $21 1h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner SELL Leviatán Esports 100¢ $151 1h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 59¢ $90 2h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 53¢ $48 2h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel SELL Taro Daniel 100¢ $137 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 45¢ $67 4h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Ind SELL Bigetron by Vitality 80¢ $64 4h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Ind SELL Bigetron by Vitality 39¢ $3 4h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 46¢ $65 4h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Ind BUY Bigetron by Vitality 39¢ $35 5h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Bondar 70¢ $81 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 38¢ $81 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 29¢ $30 8h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 29¢ $35 8h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 51¢ $30 14h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 38¢ $40 14h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 50¢ $45 14h
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5 SELL Yes 50¢ $15 15h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 45¢ $35 15h
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5 BUY Yes 55¢ $41 16h
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5 BUY Yes 55¢ $1 16h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty BUY G2 Minnesota 28¢ $6 16h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty BUY G2 Minnesota 28¢ $3 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-6.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 +6.0% -4.1% 43% 43% -6.1%
≤30d 242 -2.6% -11.9% 39% 39% -12.8%
≤90d 989 +3.1% -6.7% 44% 44% -8.3%
all 989 +3.1% -6.7% 44% 44% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.7% 44% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -15.6% 43% -17.1%
15% -23.8% 43% -25.1%
20% -31.2% 41% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.20 · official $0.58 (match) · 2029 history records