Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:21:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x87bf…99db
crypto · 371 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$412 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$410 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$410
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses170 / 200
Est. fees paid−$51
Open positions1
Markets (closed)370 / 371
History coverage11d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day312.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 370 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$186
7 days−$426
14 days−$410
30 days−$410
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 51¢ 42¢ $12 $10 −$2 (-19%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$6 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$6 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$6 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$9 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +35%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$6 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +32%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$7 -69%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$10 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -50%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$7 -80%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 53% −$428
sports 47% +$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $12 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $8 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 306 -14.3% -22.4% 45% 42% -24.3%
≤30d 370 -11.6% -20.1% 46% 39% -17.0%
≤90d 370 -11.6% -20.1% 46% 39% -17.0%
all 370 -11.6% -20.1% 46% 39% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover312.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.1% 39% -17.0%
10% ← realistic here -27.7% 34% -25.0%
15% -34.7% 23% -32.2%
20% -41.1% 16% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.76 · official $10.94 · 3500 history records