trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +35.5% | +22.6% | 75% | 75% | +18.5% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +35.9% | +23.0% | 77% | 77% | +18.8% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +33.3% | +20.6% | 71% | 71% | +10.7% |
| all | 23 | +10.7% | +0.2% | 65% | 65% | +4.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +0.2% | 65% | +4.9% |
| 10% | -9.4% | 48% | -5.2% |
| 15% | -18.1% | 43% | -14.3% |
| 20% | -26.2% | 26% | -22.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 49¢ | 50¢ | $60 | $61 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | $47 | $48 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 52¢ | 52¢ | $36 | $37 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $20 | +$12 | +61% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $40 | +$8 | +19% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $30 | +$11 | +37% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $10 | +$27 | +261% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 26 | $41 | +$14 | +33% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $10 | +$15 | +151% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $45 | +$22 | +49% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $21 | +$10 | +45% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $44 | +$29 | +67% |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$4 | +41% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Apr 23 | $126 | −$1 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Feb 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Feb 17 | $14 | +$2 | +15% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01? | Feb 17 | $15 | +$9 | +61% |
| Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | Dec 20 | $70 | +$10 | +15% |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? | Dec 20 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30? | Dec 20 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings? | Dec 20 | $15 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30? | Dec 20 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw? | Dec 17 | $10 | +$8 | +79% |