Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:56:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x87a4…2bd6
sports · 203 markets active 2h ago
1.0score
+$112 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$108 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized+$108
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses73 / 128
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions2
Markets (closed)201 / 203
History coverage118d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day3.4
Drawdown63%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 201 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$25
14 days−$24
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 38¢ 62¢ $7 $11 +$4 (+63%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 31¢ 30¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 11? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 -9%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 +$8 +152%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 12 $5 +$18 +344%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 −$4 -71%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 9? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 4? Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 9? Jun 09 $19 +$26 +140%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 5? Jun 07 $6 +$14 +212%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $5 +$6 +105%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $3 −$3 -100%
Thunder vs. Spurs Jun 04 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 04 $3 −$3 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on May 20? Jun 04 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 28? Jun 04 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 04 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 3? Jun 04 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 4? Jun 04 $5 −$1 -16%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 26? May 26 $5 +$2 +42%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 25? May 25 $5 −$4 -86%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 22? May 22 $8 −$7 -89%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships May 21 $5 −$2 -35%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 20? May 20 $4 +$3 +69%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group May 20 $5 +$15 +291%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Champi May 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playo May 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 16? May 16 $6 $0 -5%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on May 15? May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 15? May 15 $10 −$1 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 14? May 15 $9 +$26 +288%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 14? May 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13? May 14 $8 +$27 +314%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group May 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers May 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Knicks vs. 76ers May 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B May 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B May 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Celtics vs. 76ers May 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 63% +$66
weather 36% +$48
crypto 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 30¢ $2 2h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? SELL Yes 20¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 43¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? BUY Yes 20¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 16¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 17¢ $3 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 39¢ $5 21h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 20¢ $3 22h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 11? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 27h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 22¢ $5 28h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 10? SELL Yes 3¢ $2 2d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 10? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 2d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 10? BUY Yes 10¢ $3 2d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 9? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 9? SELL Yes 91¢ $45 2d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 9? BUY Yes 30¢ $4 2d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 9? BUY Yes 43¢ $4 2d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 9? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 3d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 9? BUY Yes 42¢ $6 3d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 9? BUY Yes 42¢ $2 3d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY G2 30¢ $2 4d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY G2 36¢ $2 4d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY G2 49¢ $3 4d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 5? BUY Yes 31¢ $6 7d
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Liquid 48¢ $5 7d
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY BIG 21¢ $2 7d
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY BIG 34¢ $3 7d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Sharks 47¢ $5 8d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 4? BUY Yes 29¢ $7 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -2.3% -11.6% 29% 29% +17.7%
≤30d 42 -18.0% -25.8% 24% 24% -11.1%
≤90d 103 -4.8% -13.8% 28% 28% -7.7%
all 201 -2.1% -11.4% 36% 36% -1.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.4% 36% -1.5%
10% -19.9% 34% -11.0%
15% -27.6% 33% -19.6%
20% -34.7% 32% -27.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.35 · official $16.35 (match) · 559 history records