Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:25:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x8796…eb9f
weather · 1346 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$536 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$529 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12,726
Realized+$529
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1283 / 2
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions61
Markets (closed)1285 / 1346
History coverage11d
Avg bet$135
Trades / day193.5
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 61 History 1285 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$73
7 days+$192
14 days+$529
30 days+$529
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $999 $1,000 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $999 $1,000 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $999 $1,000 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $999 $1,000 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $999 $999 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or below on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $958 $958 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $863 $863 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $548 $548 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $441 $441 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $302 $302 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $278 $278 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $99 $100 +$1 (+1%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 82°F or higher on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $45 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 13? Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $54 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on June Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on Ju Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 12? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on June 12? Jun 13 $54 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 12? Jun 13 $89 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 12? Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 12? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 12? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 12? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 12? Jun 13 $51 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 12? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 12? Jun 13 $81 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$536
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $1 21m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June BUY No 100¢ $100 29m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $100 29m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $100 30m
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $9 30m
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $60 31m
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $100 46m
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $87 1h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $9 1h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 85°F or below on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $95 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $100 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $100 1h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $100 1h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $100 1h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $100 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $100 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $100 1h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $100 2h
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $40 2h
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $100 2h
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $40 2h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $100 2h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $100 2h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $21 3h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $100 3h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $100 4h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $69 5h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $100 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 775 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 1285 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤90d 1285 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.2%
all 1285 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover193.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 0% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 0% -17.9%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12,725.64 · official $12,725.54 (match) · 3500 history records