trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +4.5% | -5.4% | 75% | 25% | -7.0% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +1.5% | -8.2% | 40% | 10% | -8.9% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +1.5% | -8.2% | 40% | 10% | -8.9% |
| all | 25 | +3.6% | -6.3% | 56% | 12% | -11.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.3% | 12% | -11.5% |
| 10% | -15.3% | 4% | -19.9% |
| 15% | -23.4% | 4% | -27.7% |
| 20% | -31.0% | 4% | -34.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | No | 95¢ | 97¢ | $29 | $29 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? | No | 79¢ | 98¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+24%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 24 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 23 | $20 | +$4 | +19% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $33 | $0 | +1% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $34 | −$1 | -2% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 15 | $33 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $38 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 09 | $37 | −$1 | -3% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 08 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gregory Rusland be the next president of Suriname after the elect | Dec 11 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 11 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Mario Grech be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Rangers win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 15 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alexander Isak be the top goalscorer in the EPL? | Apr 14 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 13 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in April? | Apr 12 | $2 | $0 | +13% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29ºC in February 20 | Mar 21 | $45 | −$45 | -100% |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Mar 19 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Rockets vs. Pacers | Mar 03 | $52 | −$3 | -5% |
| St. Louis vs. Dayton | Mar 03 | $68 | −$17 | -25% |
| Albany vs. Vermont | Mar 03 | $19 | +$54 | +281% |
| Will Trump say 'inflation' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Unio | Mar 03 | $68 | $0 | -0% |