trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $1,455 | −$1,455 | -100% |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $1,455 | −$1,455 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | Jun 12 | $10 | +$8 | +72% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | Jun 12 | $10 | −$3 | -28% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | Jun 12 | $10 | +$3 | +33% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | Jun 12 | $11 | −$9 | -88% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | Jun 12 | $11 | +$19 | +182% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | Jun 12 | $11 | +$5 | +44% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | Jun 12 | $11 | −$1 | -6% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | +$2 | +45% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | +5.4% | -4.6% | 55% | 45% | -96.7% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +5.4% | -4.6% | 55% | 45% | -96.7% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +5.4% | -4.6% | 55% | 45% | -96.7% |
| all | 11 | +5.4% | -4.6% | 55% | 45% | -96.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -4.6% | 45% | -96.7% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -13.8% | 45% | -97.0% |
| 15% | -22.1% | 36% | -97.3% |
| 20% | -29.7% | 18% | -97.6% |