Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:07:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
87 0x876b…fb42 crypto 842 markets active 0h ago coverage 59d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$7 (+1%) realized +$7 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate97%817W / 25L
Drawdown79%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day14.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$1
14 days+$3
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 155 +0.4% -9.2% 97% 1% -9.2%
≤30d 545 +0.7% -8.9% 97% 1% -8.8%
≤90d 842 +0.5% -9.1% 97% 2% -9.1%
all 842 +0.5% -9.1% 97% 2% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.1% 2% -9.1%
10% -17.8% 0% -17.8%
15% -25.7% 0% -25.7%
20% -33.0% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.2 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

59d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses817 / 25
Open positions0
Markets (closed)842 / 842
History coverage59d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day14.4
Drawdown79%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 842 Trades
no open positions (15 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -66%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $0 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 30h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 30h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 30h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.05 · official $2.05 (match) · 1667 history records