Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:33:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x8765…9cdb
crypto · 125 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$19,704 +186%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19,708 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$66
Realized+$19,708
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses356 / 242
Open positions1
Markets (closed)598 / 125
Avg bet$85
Trades / day3375.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 598 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19,708
7 days+$19,708
14 days+$19,708
30 days+$19,708
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 61¢ 60¢ $45 $44 −$1 (-1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 47¢ 40¢ $23 $19 −$4 (-16%)
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 67¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+48%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 74¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+66%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $247 $0 −$247 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$49 +359%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$73 +213%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$42 +1147%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$48 +670%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$3 -16%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$40 +943%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$69 +469%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$37 +229%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$62 +310%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$23 -130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $66 +$305 +462%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$65 -343%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$28 -480%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$52 -106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$67 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$97 +1176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $67 +$144 +215%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$54 -490%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$50 +298%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$393 +29673%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $247 −$566 -229%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$17 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$44 +533%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $135 −$217 -160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$62 +1054%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$394 -1117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$102 -165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$51 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$39 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$61 -211%
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$104 -12191%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$12 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $319 −$932 -293%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$47 -4576%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $127 −$27 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$11 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $63 +$142 +226%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $69 +$82 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $54 +$433 +796%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$800 +2869%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$43 +434%
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$95 -1865%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$61 -146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$354 +1505%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$7 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $84 +$297 +356%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $80 +$352 +438%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$143 +32130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$201 +3603%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$109
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $7 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $9 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $6 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)+402.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 598 +455.4% +402.5% 60% 54% +30.8%
≤30d 598 +455.4% +402.5% 60% 54% +30.8%
≤90d 598 +455.4% +402.5% 60% 54% +30.8%
all 598 +455.4% +402.5% 60% 54% +30.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3375.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +402.5% 54% +30.8%
10% ← realistic here +354.4% 50% +18.3%
15% +310.5% 48% +6.9%
20% +270.3% 47% -3.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $66.08 · official $62.03 · 3500 history records