Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T18:19:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
87 0x8759…d94f crypto 119 markets active 1h ago coverage 15d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 14d only
✗ bot/MM pace (230 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$2,970 (-16%) realized −$2,970 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -18% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -37% what you keep after slip
Net edge-37%after slip
Net WR23%break-even
Win rate33%44W / 88L
Whale WR11%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$158per market
Trades / day230.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,009
7 days−$2,009
14 days−$2,685
30 days−$2,623
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$712
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (230 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-26.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -86.0% -87.3% 7% 7% -70.6%
≤30d 132 -18.3% -26.1% 33% 23% -21.0%
≤90d 132 -18.3% -26.1% 33% 23% -21.0%
all 132 -18.3% -26.1% 33% 23% -21.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover230.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.1% 23% -21.0%
10% ← realistic here -33.1% 17% -28.6%
15% -39.6% 11% -35.5%
20% -45.5% 8% -41.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
27% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -18% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 11% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +4% → late -40% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
28.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$40 vs −$50 · ×0.8 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.4 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,970
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses44 / 88
Whale WR (big bets)11%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)132 / 119
History coverage15d ⚠
Avg bet$158
Trades / day230.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 132 Trades
no open positions (17 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $187 −$187 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $234 −$234 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $523 −$523 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 15 $196 −$196 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $519 −$519 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $865 −$156 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $200 +$57 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 04 $44 −$14 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 04 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 04 $41 −$11 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 04 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 04 $68 −$8 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 04 $8 +$12 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 04 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 04 $273 −$16 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 04 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 04 $72 −$12 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 04 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 04 $103 −$6 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 04 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 04 $80 +$25 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 04 $66 −$12 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 04 $185 +$115 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 04 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 04 $42 −$12 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 04 $44 −$14 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 04 $219 +$72 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 04 $38 −$8 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 04 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 04 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 03 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 03 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 03 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 03 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 03 $102 +$37 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 03 $57 −$27 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 03 $44 +$23 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 03 $80 −$13 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 03 $88 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 03 $81 −$21 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 03 $147 −$7 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 03 $40 −$40 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $22 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records