Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T13:16:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
87 0x8752…9407 crypto 1079 markets active 0h ago coverage 27d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 27d only
✗ bot/MM pace (57 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$825 (-19%) realized −$825 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate49%529W / 550L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day56.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days−$12
14 days−$209
30 days−$465
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$465
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (57 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-18.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 353 +3.1% -6.7% 60% 57% -10.3%
≤30d 1079 -9.6% -18.2% 49% 45% -19.1%
≤90d 1079 -9.6% -18.2% 49% 45% -19.1%
all 1079 -9.6% -18.2% 49% 45% -19.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover56.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.2% 45% -19.1%
10% ← realistic here -26.0% 41% -26.8%
15% -33.2% 36% -33.9%
20% -39.7% 29% -40.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -13% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.76 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.73 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

27d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$825
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses529 / 550
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1079 / 1079
History coverage27d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day56.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1079 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$4 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$1 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $12 +$2 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$2 -32%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$2 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$2 -30%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.52 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records