Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:14:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x8741…b0cd
crypto · 1758 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$36 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$36 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$36
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1730 / 41
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1771 / 1758
History coverage66d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day26.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 0 History 1771 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$26
14 days−$24
30 days−$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 10PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$7
other 12% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 37h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 45h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 7d
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 7d
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 7d
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 7d
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -36.7% -42.7% 63% 0% -42.7%
≤30d 116 -11.2% -19.7% 88% 0% -19.7%
≤90d 1771 -1.0% -10.4% 98% 1% -10.4%
all 1771 -1.0% -10.4% 98% 1% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 1% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 0% -19.0%
15% -26.8% 0% -26.8%
20% -34.0% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.01 · official $2.01 (match) · 3500 history records