trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Mar 22 | $2,217 | +$9,785 | +441% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1 | Mar 22 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Tucker Carlson be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the | Mar 22 | $3,998 | +$69 | +2% |
| Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 202 | Dec 04 | $861 | +$1,664 | +193% |
| Will KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Dec 04 | $240 | +$1,741 | +726% |
| Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 202 | Dec 04 | $380 | +$1,600 | +421% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Dec 04 | $520 | +$479 | +92% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 3 | +114.4% | +94.0% | 67% | 33% | +133.7% |
| all | 7 | +253.6% | +219.9% | 86% | 71% | +159.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +219.9% | 71% | +159.2% |
| 10% | +189.3% | 71% | +134.4% |
| 15% | +161.4% | 71% | +111.8% |
| 20% | +135.7% | 71% | +91.0% |