trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +1.3% | -8.4% | 100% | 0% | -8.4% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 33% | 17% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 30% | 10% | -10.8% |
| all | 27 | -1.6% | -10.9% | 48% | 4% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.9% | 4% | -10.3% |
| 10% | -19.5% | 0% | -18.8% |
| 15% | -27.2% | 0% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -34.4% | 0% | -33.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $41 | +$1 | +1% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 26 | $3 | $0 | +12% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 25 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | May 25 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 24 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 24 | $41 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 24 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 24 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | May 23 | $41 | $0 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | May 21 | $52 | −$6 | -12% |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Larry Ellison buy TikTok before July? | Jun 05 | $2 | −$1 | -35% |
| Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after | Jun 05 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Antonio Saravia win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Jun 04 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jun 03 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | Jun 03 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 02 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between | Jun 02 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 01 | $15 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 28 - April 4? | Apr 01 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in his first 100 days? | Mar 31 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump meets with Zelenskyy in March? | Mar 29 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Eric Adams out as NYC mayor by March 31? | Mar 28 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 28 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | Mar 25 | $2 | $0 | +7% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 21 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 19 | $2 | −$1 | -32% |