trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 9 | +21.2% | +9.6% | 33% | 33% | +65.5% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +175.2% | +149.0% | 36% | 36% | +64.6% |
| all | 11 | +175.2% | +149.0% | 36% | 36% | +64.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +149.0% | 36% | +64.6% |
| 10% | +125.2% | 36% | +48.9% |
| 15% | +103.4% | 27% | +34.5% |
| 20% | +83.5% | 27% | +21.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 9¢ | 1¢ | $12,919 | $1,539 | −$11,381 (-88%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | Jun 05 | $279 | −$229 | -82% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | -18% |
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 05 | $9 | −$6 | -69% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Jun 05 | $137 | −$56 | -41% |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombi | Jun 01 | $2,071 | +$5,052 | +244% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian | Jun 01 | $4,625 | +$14,276 | +309% |
| Will a candidate win the 2026 Colombian presidential election in the f | May 31 | $216 | −$105 | -48% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the | May 31 | $7,184 | −$6,594 | -92% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | May 25 | $1,562 | +$456 | +29% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | May 20 | $279 | −$274 | -98% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 15 | $20 | +$364 | +1837% |