Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:13:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x8717…af52
crypto · 1242 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$160 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$160 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$160
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses378 / 863
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1241 / 1242
History coverage31d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day30.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1241 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$91
7 days−$176
14 days−$126
30 days−$158
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -89%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -85%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +112%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -16%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -52%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -35%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$160
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 315 -8.6% -17.3% 26% 26% -18.1%
≤30d 1013 -2.1% -11.4% 30% 28% -12.1%
≤90d 1241 -1.6% -10.9% 30% 27% -11.6%
all 1241 -1.6% -10.9% 30% 27% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 27% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 15% -20.0%
15% -27.2% 8% -27.8%
20% -34.4% 3% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records