Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:12:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x8710…19a2
crypto · 1076 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$314 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$314 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$314
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses669 / 407
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1076 / 1076
History coverage36d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day48.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1076 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$87
14 days−$87
30 days−$309
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$309
world 0% $0
politics 0% −$5
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 148 -14.1% -22.3% 56% 56% -37.8%
≤30d 1074 -3.8% -13.0% 62% 60% -10.7%
≤90d 1076 -3.9% -13.0% 62% 60% -10.7%
all 1076 -3.9% -13.0% 62% 60% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 60% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.4% 53% -19.2%
15% -29.0% 43% -27.0%
20% -35.9% 29% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2464 history records